1. He really had no idea how to even start a political campaign, and he also was quite aware that running could harm his life at home.
2. Other than the fact that people knew her name, Gruel also had many strong, dedicated supporters.
3. He needed just about a million dollars.
4. Cable TV ads and direct mail would be what he would spend the money on primarily.
5. Miller would need a media strategist, a direct mail consultant, fundraising consultant, and election lawyer, a campaign treasurer, and day-to-day campaign staff to pull this off.
6. They really focused on the fact that he was Jewish.
7. There are about 426,000 registered voters, and half of them are 65 or older.
8. Surprisingly enough within the first few days he had raised 130,000 dollars.
9.The newspaper endorsement helped him raise identification among Democrats and pushed him to a closer level with all of the other candidates. Because he became recognizable to his supporters, his campaign got funded more and was fueled with an unknown energy to his campaign.
10. He raised $500,000 and only got 12% of the vote. He lost.
Thursday, December 10, 2015
Tuesday, December 8, 2015
2.9 Gerrymandering Things
1. 13 minutes, 31 seconds.
2. A nonpartisan state agency.
3. The state legislature which is pretty much controlled by the Republican party shoved all of most of the Democrats into 13th and 14th districts, and most of their voters did vote Democrat.
4. District 1 is split fifty fifty, meaning that politicians have more competition at this place.
5. It is not dense at all congressional district in the country.
6. Only 5 districts are controlled by democrats, however somehow in 2012 President Obama won the state by 5 points.
7. 3rd, 9th, 11th, and 13th
8. It has 100% Republican voters.
9. John Boehner. It is very important that the leader of the Republican Party had a safe seat, and didn't have to really worry about opponents.
10. I would probably say Ohio was the worst thing that I have seen in a while, and we both know what my grade is, Mr. Rakestraw.
2. A nonpartisan state agency.
3. The state legislature which is pretty much controlled by the Republican party shoved all of most of the Democrats into 13th and 14th districts, and most of their voters did vote Democrat.
4. District 1 is split fifty fifty, meaning that politicians have more competition at this place.
5. It is not dense at all congressional district in the country.
6. Only 5 districts are controlled by democrats, however somehow in 2012 President Obama won the state by 5 points.
7. 3rd, 9th, 11th, and 13th
8. It has 100% Republican voters.
9. John Boehner. It is very important that the leader of the Republican Party had a safe seat, and didn't have to really worry about opponents.
10. I would probably say Ohio was the worst thing that I have seen in a while, and we both know what my grade is, Mr. Rakestraw.
2.8
1. Republicans believe that opening US borders for refugees will lead to an even larger ISIS presence in the United States.
2. Only about 2,000 refugees have been admitted into the US in the last four years.
3. They have to complete an application, get it approved, have a security background check,have an independent interview to confirm their identity, and on top of all of that get screened to make sure that they do not have any terror affiliations.
4. All Syrian refugees are considered dangerous unless proven otherwise because you do not know whether or not they are dangerous.
5. If they have ever been a part of a terrorist organization, if they were part of a rebel group that ever affiliated with a terrorist organization, or if they simply cannot prove that they were not involved with a terror group.
6. Radical people do not define the average citizen, because the radical people are the minority in Syria. That being said it makes no since to not accept Syrian refugees because they expand our thinking patterns, economy, and peace relations with nations in the Middle Asia/North Africa.
7. Those states generally vote Republican.
8. They really don't have the power to ban refugees from settling in their state.
9. It is very costly to support an influx of refugees.
10. They fear an attack similar to the one that happened in Paris.
11. Yes, but if they are going to be surrounded by people who make them feel unwanted and hated, then they might be better living in more liberal states.
2. Only about 2,000 refugees have been admitted into the US in the last four years.
3. They have to complete an application, get it approved, have a security background check,have an independent interview to confirm their identity, and on top of all of that get screened to make sure that they do not have any terror affiliations.
4. All Syrian refugees are considered dangerous unless proven otherwise because you do not know whether or not they are dangerous.
5. If they have ever been a part of a terrorist organization, if they were part of a rebel group that ever affiliated with a terrorist organization, or if they simply cannot prove that they were not involved with a terror group.
6. Radical people do not define the average citizen, because the radical people are the minority in Syria. That being said it makes no since to not accept Syrian refugees because they expand our thinking patterns, economy, and peace relations with nations in the Middle Asia/North Africa.
7. Those states generally vote Republican.
8. They really don't have the power to ban refugees from settling in their state.
9. It is very costly to support an influx of refugees.
10. They fear an attack similar to the one that happened in Paris.
11. Yes, but if they are going to be surrounded by people who make them feel unwanted and hated, then they might be better living in more liberal states.
Sunday, November 29, 2015
2.7
1. The Democratic National Committee is now organizing the party's primary debates.
2. Depending on the day debates will have high or low viewership, but the highest day of viewership is definitely Thursday.
3. Republicans have scheduled their debates on days with high viewership.
4. They have debates scheduled six days before Christmas and the Sunday of Martin Luther King weekend, so they sort of ignore the projected days of high viewership.
5. She's leading the Democratic polls right now, and many believe that she will win the primary. As long as her actual competitors don't get any time to challenge her on live television, she will probably win it.
6. Young people are less likely to be watching debates on Fridays, and more likely to be doing things.
7. People who are support Sanders are also likely to learn about him on the internet, regardless of when he debates because of his huge internet campaign.
8. He pretty much doesn't stand a chance, and will probably drop out sooner rather than later.
2. Depending on the day debates will have high or low viewership, but the highest day of viewership is definitely Thursday.
3. Republicans have scheduled their debates on days with high viewership.
4. They have debates scheduled six days before Christmas and the Sunday of Martin Luther King weekend, so they sort of ignore the projected days of high viewership.
5. She's leading the Democratic polls right now, and many believe that she will win the primary. As long as her actual competitors don't get any time to challenge her on live television, she will probably win it.
6. Young people are less likely to be watching debates on Fridays, and more likely to be doing things.
7. People who are support Sanders are also likely to learn about him on the internet, regardless of when he debates because of his huge internet campaign.
8. He pretty much doesn't stand a chance, and will probably drop out sooner rather than later.
Wednesday, November 18, 2015
2.6 Trump and SNL
1. Trump's rivals are entitled to the same amount of screen time on NBC as he received on Saturday.
2. They can request an equal opportunity to appear on-air for free to deliver their individual messages.
3. As the episode becomes more popular and more it gets more views, so will the amount of time that the other candidates will get.
4. There are many exceptions to the equal-time doctrine, the that is most popular would most likely be "bona fide" news or documentaries. They also has the ability to decide what should be done instead of forcing broadcast stations to hand over airtime.
5. It has created a culture that makes broadcasters shy away from political candidates, because they know that they might have to allow other candidates the same opportunity, and while Trump might be good for business other candidates might not be.
6. Political debates, talk-show appearances, and documentaries.
7. They could force contribution limits, disclosure requirements, and possibly fines.
2. They can request an equal opportunity to appear on-air for free to deliver their individual messages.
3. As the episode becomes more popular and more it gets more views, so will the amount of time that the other candidates will get.
4. There are many exceptions to the equal-time doctrine, the that is most popular would most likely be "bona fide" news or documentaries. They also has the ability to decide what should be done instead of forcing broadcast stations to hand over airtime.
5. It has created a culture that makes broadcasters shy away from political candidates, because they know that they might have to allow other candidates the same opportunity, and while Trump might be good for business other candidates might not be.
6. Political debates, talk-show appearances, and documentaries.
7. They could force contribution limits, disclosure requirements, and possibly fines.
2.5 Parties vs. Media
1. The complaint was that all of the questions that the candidates were asked were not asked serious things about their ideas on policy and issues, but were rather asked questions in order to paint them as bad people/
2. The threats have been centered on cancelling the next GOP debate that would have been hosted by Telemundo. However the GOP has the media grabbing power of Donald Trump.
2. The threats have been centered on cancelling the next GOP debate that would have been hosted by Telemundo. However the GOP has the media grabbing power of Donald Trump.
3. I would say that the Ben Carson math conundrum is the one that I find the most hilarious.
4. That the media operates as if the Democrats are normal and the Republicans are strange, irregular people. The Democrats benefit from this strange questioning.
5. They can cancel the debate with NBC and go to another station.
6. Mainstream media will almost always question the GOP more harshly and strangely.
7. They rely on the media to appeal to centrist and voters who do not normally take.
8. I don't think so. While some candidates may benefit from being the center of the media, others would not and should not be the center of the media either.
9. They would ideally have more support, and the questions would benefit them more in the long run.
10. They don't get media attention and don't appeal to the American people.
Thursday, November 5, 2015
2.4 Jeb! the disappointment
1. Jeb Bush has the most endorsement, the most money in the bank, the most recognizable name, and a poll that still says hes much farther than the other real politicians in the race.
2. He has had to downsize his campaign majorly, he isn't the best politician or public speaker, and he is under constant scrutiny by the public. He also is in a bad position because Trump and Carson are so interesting to the pubic that he can't even really get more buzz than they do.
3. He is a much better speaker, and while they have similar political viewpoints, Rubio has a better way of expressing them.
4. They complain the Hillary Clinton's politics are just a repeat, but it is negated because of the fact that the Bush name has been involved with politics for quite some time.
5. Because then the Bush supporters would most likely go to Rubio and support him. This not only helps Rubio, but it helps the party and Bush himself. It helps him because he will still have the look of a politician who did what he had to do so that his party could win and that would look great in the eyes of the public.
2. He has had to downsize his campaign majorly, he isn't the best politician or public speaker, and he is under constant scrutiny by the public. He also is in a bad position because Trump and Carson are so interesting to the pubic that he can't even really get more buzz than they do.
3. He is a much better speaker, and while they have similar political viewpoints, Rubio has a better way of expressing them.
4. They complain the Hillary Clinton's politics are just a repeat, but it is negated because of the fact that the Bush name has been involved with politics for quite some time.
5. Because then the Bush supporters would most likely go to Rubio and support him. This not only helps Rubio, but it helps the party and Bush himself. It helps him because he will still have the look of a politician who did what he had to do so that his party could win and that would look great in the eyes of the public.
Sunday, November 1, 2015
2.3 "New Speaker"
1. Hard-line conservatives insist that the House Democrats use routine and critical pieces must-pass legislation to create a form of leverage so that ideological concessions from the White House are ensured.
2. They think that President Obama will not compromise his beliefs just to keep the government flowing efficiently.
3. Paul Ryan wanted time with his family as well as relief from the fundraising obligations that the Speaker normally takes on. Ryan also wanted to get rid of the ability to motion to vacate the chair so that he could do his job correctly.
4. That he will not be able to really do his job because of the way that things have been lining up in the House. The crazier the proposals get, the more conservatives will be distanced with him.
5. Paul Ryan will be seen as another Republican who helped the Democrats after passing a must pass bill.
2. They think that President Obama will not compromise his beliefs just to keep the government flowing efficiently.
3. Paul Ryan wanted time with his family as well as relief from the fundraising obligations that the Speaker normally takes on. Ryan also wanted to get rid of the ability to motion to vacate the chair so that he could do his job correctly.
4. That he will not be able to really do his job because of the way that things have been lining up in the House. The crazier the proposals get, the more conservatives will be distanced with him.
5. Paul Ryan will be seen as another Republican who helped the Democrats after passing a must pass bill.
Thursday, October 29, 2015
2.2 "Future of the Democratic Party"
1.Republicans have a large percentage of the representation in our government. They make up 70% of state legislation, 55% of attorney generals and secretaries of state. For example there are 247 Republicans in the house and 54 Republicans in the Senate.
2. Because they have a majority of the power in both the House and Senate and it does not appear that it will be changing any time soon.
3. The greatest level of electoral entrenchment is reached by state legislation controlling the redistricting process for the House of Representatives.
4. Seven states fulfill that role.
5. The main achievements of Republican controlled state governments are restricted abortion rights, the spreading of union-hostile "right to work" laws, curbed voter rights, job cut son teachers and other workers.
6. My estimation would be that 29% of the US population is under Democratically controlled government.
7. The distribution of population in the United States creates the tendency of the average House district to be more GOP-friendly than the overall population. Which means that Republicans have a gigantic advantage in House voting decisions.
8. The Democratic agenda is at the federal level. The Republican agenda is to make as little change happen as possible, or to adopt some slightly more left ideals about some topics.
9. Because if the Hispanic vote is won by Republicans then they obtain a new demographic and possibly gain support from new states.
10. Same-sex marriage, gun control, and raising minimum wage are some of the newer things that the Democratic party has put its eyes on.
2.1 "Trump and Bernie"
1. They say that the most important factor of the decision of the party nominee would be the party itself, and in particular the house leaders and insiders have the biggest say in who the nominee is.
2. The first debate, Fox News used the debate to lay a trap for Donald Trump to make him seem like a bad candidate.
3. The voters are really wanting to make the decision themselves, and go against the elites of the party and while this is happening the party insiders are wanting to control who the nominees will be.
4. The party picked Romney because he had established credibility by establishing connections when he ran in 2008, and he was the candidate that was most likely to win the race for the Republicans.
5. Endorsements from the party insiders before Iowa correlated exactly with who won the nominations. The trend would be that endorsements best predict presidential nominees.
6. Jeb Bush is what the Republican insiders or elites want for the nomination, but there is not a lot of support for him.
7. The candidate's status seems to be the most important determinate. The chosen candidate normally has one of two things going for them: national figure or currently in office.
8. Parties can influence the primary calendar, change ballot qualification requirements, and limit the number of debates to sort of influence the ways that the party as a whole responds to candidates and such.
9. That they are not representing want the voters want in many major issues.
10. Before the primaries voter opinion is very much all over the place, but voters begin to get more serious when the primaries approach. Regardless of voter opinion about Trump in the end, the party itself will not endorse Trump because of his approach and personality. Remember parties endorse the candidates that will be their ticket to winning the entirety of the election.
2. The first debate, Fox News used the debate to lay a trap for Donald Trump to make him seem like a bad candidate.
3. The voters are really wanting to make the decision themselves, and go against the elites of the party and while this is happening the party insiders are wanting to control who the nominees will be.
4. The party picked Romney because he had established credibility by establishing connections when he ran in 2008, and he was the candidate that was most likely to win the race for the Republicans.
5. Endorsements from the party insiders before Iowa correlated exactly with who won the nominations. The trend would be that endorsements best predict presidential nominees.
6. Jeb Bush is what the Republican insiders or elites want for the nomination, but there is not a lot of support for him.
7. The candidate's status seems to be the most important determinate. The chosen candidate normally has one of two things going for them: national figure or currently in office.
8. Parties can influence the primary calendar, change ballot qualification requirements, and limit the number of debates to sort of influence the ways that the party as a whole responds to candidates and such.
9. That they are not representing want the voters want in many major issues.
10. Before the primaries voter opinion is very much all over the place, but voters begin to get more serious when the primaries approach. Regardless of voter opinion about Trump in the end, the party itself will not endorse Trump because of his approach and personality. Remember parties endorse the candidates that will be their ticket to winning the entirety of the election.
Friday, October 9, 2015
1.1 Blog Post
Yglesias thinks that Boehner's resignation has something to do with the fact that he thinks that the Republican party doesn't need to focus on running against each other. That is also the reason why his resignation was so quick and with without much notice at all. He will be replaced with a run for candidacy. He will not be missed by many conservatives because he often did not let conservative reforms go through the house. He also might not be too sad to be leaving now because thee is another government shutdown is brewing. This one very much related to the fact that government funds are indirectly funding Planned Parenthood abortions, and many conservatives are not okay with that. The Tea Party has not challenged them because they have challenged him before, and because of his job security is even stronger now, it would not make sense for them to do so. McCarthy is the most hyped candidate, but I do not think that he will be successful if the House not work with them. If he does win the race then he will find himself facing all the same problems that Boehner faced.
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