The FIGHT over Scalia

1. Debate is now centered on the Republican stubbornness in approving any of Obama's nominees.
2. If a Democratic candidate comes into the presidency, then they have a serious risk of losing their Senate majority.
3. If they compromise with Obama the Republican voters will never forgive them. 
4. EVERYTHING
5. It has happened 5 times in the last century.
6. His claim is that no judge in the last 80 years has been appointed  in an election year, although Kennedy and Murphy were appointed in election years.
7. It is old information. 
8. Gridlock led to the previous 2 appointments to be denied.
9. The process takes longer and is more difficult because party polarization has grown.
10. The only solution is to wait until the next election cycle.

3.6 Will Republicans Block Obama?

1. That the nomination of the next Supreme Court Justice should be more of an issue of democracy.
2. Democrats in the Senate blocked his appointment because they felt his views were too conservative.
3. A Democratic Senator, Chuck Schumer, stated that all of President George Bush's nominees should be blocked.
4. Voting rights, abortion, birth control, and immigration.
5. The nomination of a liberal judge will do several things several things, for example the 2nd amendment of the Constitution modified or taken away.                                                                                                     6.  Democrats weakened the power of filibustering and used the filibuster against the Iran nuclear deal.               7. The checks and balances on the President prevent him from equipping the Supreme Court with a nominee who is extremely liberal or conservative.

Those Doors Just Keep On Revolving

1. Fewer Senators retire each year, so the numbers fluctuate more wildly.

2. A lot of former Congressmen do work similar to lobbying but don't register.

3. Committee and Party leaders.

4. Former members generally specialize in access that they then sell to multiple clients.

5. Lobbying organizations get more power to influence policy-making.

6. For every $1 spent by public interest groups, $34 is spent by corporations.

7. They offer things to former members to use their connections to represent general interest lobbying causes.

Iowa

Democratic Polls
1. There was a 3% difference in favor of Clinton.
2. O'Malley and Clinton both appeal more to moderate voters than Sanders does, so if Clinton dropped out, O'Malley's support would shoot up.
3. They are decidedly in favor of Sanders.
4. Clinton has a sizable lead over Sanders in both old people and women.
5. The margin of error is 4 points, so pollsters know that Clinton will win between 49% and 41% of the vote.

Republican Polls
1. Trump has a 5% lead over Cruz and a 13% lead over Rubio.
2. The people who don't support Trump are not going to any time soon. 
3. The poll in early January showed a 3% lead for Cruz over Trump.
4. Trump's supporters makes up a greater percentage of first time caucus goers, meaning that Cruz's veteran caucus voters will give him an advantage.
5. Like the democratic poll, the margin of error is 4%. So Cruz might actually not be that far behind Trump and Rubio could actually be closer than the numbers let on.

Actual Results
1. Martin O'Malley and Trump had slightly less support than reported, but Sanders, Clinton, Rubio, and Cruz had more voters. Sanders and Clinton were much closer (practically tied) and Cruz jumped from #2 to #1.
2. Rubio, and his voter turnout was about 8% more than projected.
3. Rubio, Cruz, and Sanders all had numbers slightly higher than predicted.
4. Rubio, who showed his legitimacy by the stark increase in his support, and Sanders, who, after people figured the race between he and Clinton would not be that close, received nearly the exact amount of votes and delegates as Clinton.
5. Each vote cost him $2,844.60 which, coincidentally, is more than his total amount of votes.