1. The voter turnout in 2008 was about 120,000, while in 2016 it was closer to 80,000.
2. Lower and middle-income voters.
3. Republican turnout records have been smashed on the Republican side so far, while the Democratic primaries in Iowa and Nevada were much lower than in 2008.
4. He will convert the enthusiasm voters have for his campaign into a durable, mobilized organizing force beyond the election.
5. Since he's a moderate, many of Jeb's voters will flock to the next most moderate candidate, who is Marco Rubio.
6. He's supposed to win the South, but he lost this first state to Trump by 10 points.
7. Possibly Nevada and definitely Rubio's home state of Florida.
8. He could possibly steal some of Jeb's supporters, and he can win some Northeastern Super Tuesday states, the Michigan primary, and his state of Ohio.
9. Trump hasn't considered Rubio a threat until now, so he will rip him apart.
No comments:
Post a Comment